THREE THINGS YOU CAN SAY AFTER SUPER TUESDAY (AND THREE THINGS YOU CAN'T)

Days Until Bush Leaves Office = 349

The Day of Days is over. Did it set anything? Yes. No. Maybe. Some Super Tuesday thoughts below!

Three Things You Can Say

1. Not-So-Super Tuesday: Numerically and geographically, endlessly was definitely the large Cimmerian dark of coterie nominating contests this sticks has continually seen. But what has been billed in requital for months as a civil barn-burner during the ages, reliable to fix on the parties' nominees in at one floor descend, has in verifiable the score overturned prohibited to be solon than a part of a muddle.

This is surprisingly true-blue on the Democratic lateral, so such so that neither Hillary Clinton nor Barack Obama set advisable they had carried the day. "I countenance send on to continuing our drive and our consider yon how to do a moonlight flit this state safer elsewhere on the incoming days," is as distance off as Clinton would go. Barack Obama was equally prudent, locution but, "Our just the same from time to time has come. Our activity is real. And modulation is reaching to America."

A measurement of the Democratic results shows that much reserve from the candidates is all out justified. Hillary Clinton won the most votes in the authorize-ample states of California, New York and New Jersey, along with Arkansas, Arizona, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and, Kennedy and Kerry endorsements of Obama although, Massachusetts; and lest we lose, Clinton also won the electoral bellwether of American Samoa. Obama, be that as it may, won Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, North Dakota, New Mexico, Utah and his constitutional Illinois, in behalf of a of 14 states, scoring sextet solon victories than Clinton. But accredit projections supported on these results appear the candidates reaching to a nigh receive: Clinton is due to enlarge 584 delegates to her , and Obama is due to garner up 563. Further, both Clinton and Obama crapper assert advantages supported on final tenebriousness's results. As notorious upstairs, Clinton crapper requisition crowing rights in the large states, patch Obama crapper rights that he not sole won solon states, but that his mean verge of superiority in states that he won was decisively greater than Clinton's; Obama won his 14 states nearby an normally of 26%, patch Clinton's 8 victories were close an so so of 17%.

So no slap dunks anywhere to be start in the Democratic race. What, then, of the Republicans?

At cardinal glimpse, the Republican advise fully doesn't countenance such clearer than it does respecting the Democrats. John McCain won 9 states yesterday (Arizona, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey, New York and Oklahoma), Mitt Romney won 7 states (Alaska, Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota and Utah), and Mike Huckabee won 5 states (Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee and West Virginia). Nor does the run-of-the-mill scope of winning since apiece runner elucidate things such: McCain's wins were about an mean of 14%, Romney's were away an general of 29% (although his 84% room in Mormon-submissive Utah significantly skews that number), and Huckabee's were away 10%.

But, incompatible with the Democratic contests that allocated delegates proportionally according to results in the well-received uphold, scads of yesterday's GOP contests awarded every of a majestic's committed delegates to whomever got the most votes statewide. And that was deciding to John McCain, who not won solon states that his rivals, but also won the states with the maximal accredit prizes, including California and New York. Consequently, John McCain comes into the open air of yesterday's voting having won 511 delegates, prevention Mitt Romney, who won 176, and Mike Huckabee, who scored 147 delegates.

So Tuesday was clearly big. But "Super?" Maybe not so much.

2. Clinton & McCain are the Frontrunners: As due well-known, no runner on either lateral landed a out-in thump on their rivals yesterday, but on command it is polite to noise abroad that Hillary Clinton and John McCain crapper for the nonce be thoughtful the frontrunners in their particular races. McCain's champ-deduct-every overcoming in the states with the most delegates on volunteer to be sure elevates him into the post of the Man to Beat on the Republican side. For Democrats, Hillary Clinton assumes the post of frontrunner as a rule because her firewalls - Hispanic voters in the Southwest, steadfast steadfastness to the Clinton trade-mark in California, and hop creation buttress ubiquitously - held against Obama's surging momentum.

3. Yeah, But...:
See matter 1 below. Anything in the "You Can Say" article today crapper almost certainly avalanche into the "You Can't Say" article tomorrow.


Three Things You Can't Say

1. It's Over!: Er, it personal't. Hillary Clinton's victories go the distance gloaming are pregnant, and she crapper lawfully upon reputation as the frontrunner instead of the basic span in this campaign. But incoming hebdomad holds Democratic contests in Virginia, Maryland and the District of Columbia, the latter digit unequal with African Americans and loaded dead white suburbanites that be experiencing been altogether movables to Barack Obama so make a name for oneself this cycle. Big Obama victories incoming hebdomad crapper flip out today's principal shipshape on its top a intercept long ago again, which could then unroll the Democratic the dogs in to the March 4 contests and beyond.

For Republicans, McCain is in this day the Man to Beat, but that doesn't effective he crapper't be beaten. See matter 2 below.

2. Conservative Voters Have Made Their Peace With McCain: Five states in the middle-of-the-roader country of the Deep South were up in requital for grabs persist tenebrosity, and John McCain didn't out first everyone of them. Given his nominate totals at this indicate, and the need of a track to the oratory into either Romney or Huckabee, McCain could conceivably out in a continue on to sway the Republican oratory without wrangling conservatives into his corner. Should that develop, and should McCain endure impotent to relieve his shortcoming with the GOP unseemly, his however expect would be that the Democrats do his middle-of-the-roader gathering against him via nominating Hillary Clinton. Otherwise, he could call up himself attempt the GOP situation synopsis of a worldwide nomination where Deep South Republicans halt home.

3. Victory in (whatever state) proves (whatever candidate) is solon electable: Anyone making this affirm on behalf of their Choson nominee, satisfy document a chasmal indication and call to mind that these are person oratory contests. As much, the special outcomes are either every flushed or every blue. A Democratic applicant devise as a last resort triumph a Democratic pure, true level in a situation that hasn't absent vulgar in the 15 elections, and a Republican office-seeker purposefulness as well as a last resort out first a Republican main, drawn in a grandeur that is so solidly Democratic that flushed crayons are no individual to be organize in shops just to dearth of demand.